Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.524262 0.613266 0.710541 0.824452 0.953872 1.096023 1.263645
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.396702 0.518262 0.663784 0.849480 1.078648 1.350618 1.696062
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.307329 0.442080 0.616513 0.855715 1.171581 1.570392 2.107341
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.234873 0.368998 0.555328 0.827651 1.208977 1.716497 2.433974
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.199077 0.337425 0.541516 0.856089 1.318302 1.960238 2.903731
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.169874 0.308951 0.525748 0.876356 1.414080 2.189368 3.368026
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.153563 0.297204 0.532161 0.928193 1.558120 2.495368 3.960906
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.129784 0.268081 0.505875 0.924025 1.614086 2.673625 4.377258
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109052 0.240197 0.476954 0.910613 1.651807 2.824108 4.758843
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.092752 0.217359 0.453036 0.901660 1.693935 2.981849 5.158829
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.082589 0.204711 0.445533 0.919857 1.781906 3.217044 5.693490
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073389 0.192259 0.436431 0.933479 1.862010 3.443252 6.225558
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.064190 0.178306 0.422959 0.938325 1.928667 3.654600 6.752141
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.057088 0.167796 0.415044 0.953000 2.014477 3.904550 7.359220
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049932 0.155605 0.401713 0.955055 2.076345 4.116211 7.912917
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041415 0.137896 0.373392 0.922477 2.068106 4.201494 8.250979
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038105 0.133500 0.374813 0.953077 2.186184 4.522595 9.022134
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034654 0.127908 0.372522 0.975081 2.288310 4.819722 9.765130
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033337 0.128396 0.385171 1.031835 2.465885 5.268178 10.805060
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029207 0.119146 0.371844 1.027234 2.514357 5.472919 11.405685
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.025205 0.109222 0.355133 1.012519 2.539525 5.633195 11.930287
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021937 0.100861 0.341211 1.002698 2.573933 5.812566 12.498316
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020076 0.097047 0.339381 1.022648 2.675816 6.131907 13.349293